Indicative Yield
11.6%
Bid 10.9% · Ask 11.6%
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Investor demonstration environment — indicative data only.
THEORI-INF-SA-GO27
South Australia Grid Outage Note
Parametric protection against a qualifying extended transmission outage affecting designated infrastructure.
InfrastructureSouth AustraliaIndicative
Implied Probability
9.4%
Historical frequency 7.8%
Total Notional
$51M
$14.3M available
Maturity
28 Feb 2027
1 December 2026 – 28 February 2027
Contract Definition
Objective terms governing observation and settlement.
Trigger
A qualifying transmission outage affecting the designated region exceeds 12 consecutive hours.
Geographic Scope
South Australia
Observation Period
1 December 2026 – 28 February 2027
Data Source
Independent transmission-network and market-operator outage data
Indicative Market History
Illustrative yield and probability movements.
Historical pricing chart workstream pending
Settlement
Automatic settlement after the qualifying outage duration is verified.
AI Risk Brief
Current pricing reflects elevated seasonal uncertainty
The current indicative premium is above the historical event frequency, reflecting recent forecast conditions, elevated energy-market sensitivity and constrained available capacity.