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Market prices, positions, participants and transactions are simulated for demonstration purposes.

Demonstration

THEORI-CLM-SG-RF27

Singapore Extreme Rainfall Disruption

Parametric protection against extreme rainfall causing operational disruption across Singapore.

ClimateSingaporeOpen

Indicative Yield

11.3%

Bid 10.8% · Ask 11.3%

Implied Probability

19.6%

Historical frequency 16.9%

Total Notional

$36M

$8.4M available

Maturity

31 Jan 2027

Continuous rolling 24-hour observation window

Contract Definition

Objective terms governing observation and settlement.

Trigger

Rolling 24-hour rainfall at Paya Lebar Airport reaches or exceeds 120 mm.

Geographic Scope

Singapore

Observation Period

Continuous rolling 24-hour observation window

Data Source

NEA rainfall observations via data.gov.sg

Indicative Market History

Illustrative yield and probability movements.

Historical pricing chart workstream pending

Settlement

Cash settlement following verification that the contracted rolling rainfall threshold has been reached.

AI Risk Brief

Current pricing reflects elevated seasonal uncertainty

The current indicative premium is above the historical event frequency, reflecting recent forecast conditions, elevated energy-market sensitivity and constrained available capacity.