Implied Probability
13.6%
Historical 11.9%
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AK
Investor demonstration environment — indicative data only. No orders are transmitted or executed.
EnergyNew South WalesTHEORI-ENG-NSW-WF27
NSW Wind Generation Floor
Protection against aggregate wind generation falling below a predefined quarterly threshold.
Bid
8.2%
Provide capacity
Ask
8.7%
Buy protection
Spread
0.5 pts
Indicative market
Available Capacity
$8.4M
$28.5M listed
Maturity
31 Mar 2027
1 January 2027 – 31 March 2027
Market Spread
0.5 pts
Indicative bid–ask
Indicative Market History
Illustrative pricing movement over the preceding six weeks.
Current indicative yield
8.7%
Range 7.5%–9.3%
01 Jul25 Jul14 Aug
Simulated Order Book
Indicative capacity available by premium rate.
RateCapacity
9.5%$2.7M
9.3%$2.2M
9.1%$1.7M
8.9%$1.3M
8.7%$800K
Indicative spread0.5 pts
8.2%$950K
8.0%$1.4M
7.8%$1.9M
7.6%$2.3M
7.4%$2.9M
Recent Market Activity
Simulated transactions for demonstration.
| Time | Direction | Notional | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:24:18 | Protection | $750K | 8.7% |
| 12:18:42 | Capacity | $1.2M | 8.2% |
| 12:07:11 | Protection | $500K | 8.6% |
| 11:56:35 | Capacity | $2M | 8.1% |
| 11:43:08 | Protection | $900K | 8.7% |
Related Markets
Comparable exposures within the current market or region.
Contract Timeline
Market Open
Indicative trading
Observation
1 January 2027 – 31 March 2027
Verification
Independent energy-market generation data
Settlement
31 Mar 2027