Tasmanian Hydro Inflow Floor

Protection against seasonal hydro catchment inflows falling below a predefined reference threshold.

WaterTasmaniaOpen

Indicative Yield

8.3%

Bid 7.8% · Ask 8.3%

Implied Probability

14.7%

Historical frequency 12.6%

Total Notional

$31.5M

$10.2M available

Maturity

30 Sep 2027

1 October 2026 – 30 September 2027

Contract Definition

Objective terms governing observation and settlement.

Trigger

Aggregate designated catchment inflows fall below the contracted seasonal threshold.

Geographic Scope

Tasmania

Observation Period

1 October 2026 – 30 September 2027

Data Source

Independent catchment, rainfall and hydro-system inflow data

Indicative Market History

Illustrative yield and probability movements.

Historical pricing chart workstream pending

Settlement

Cash settlement based on the final verified inflow-index result.

AI Risk Brief

Current pricing reflects elevated seasonal uncertainty

The current indicative premium is above the historical event frequency, reflecting recent forecast conditions, elevated energy-market sensitivity and constrained available capacity.