Implied Probability
14.7%
Historical 12.6%
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AK
Investor demonstration environment — indicative data only. No orders are transmitted or executed.
WaterTasmaniaTHEORI-WTR-TAS-HI27
Tasmanian Hydro Inflow Floor
Protection against seasonal hydro catchment inflows falling below a predefined reference threshold.
Bid
7.8%
Provide capacity
Ask
8.3%
Buy protection
Spread
0.5 pts
Indicative market
Available Capacity
$10.2M
$31.5M listed
Maturity
30 Sep 2027
1 October 2026 – 30 September 2027
Market Spread
0.5 pts
Indicative bid–ask
Indicative Market History
Illustrative pricing movement over the preceding six weeks.
Current indicative yield
8.3%
Range 7.1%–8.9%
01 Jul25 Jul14 Aug
Simulated Order Book
Indicative capacity available by premium rate.
RateCapacity
9.1%$2.7M
8.9%$2.2M
8.7%$1.7M
8.5%$1.3M
8.3%$800K
Indicative spread0.5 pts
7.8%$950K
7.6%$1.4M
7.4%$1.9M
7.2%$2.3M
7.0%$2.9M
Recent Market Activity
Simulated transactions for demonstration.
| Time | Direction | Notional | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:24:18 | Protection | $750K | 8.3% |
| 12:18:42 | Capacity | $1.2M | 7.8% |
| 12:07:11 | Protection | $500K | 8.2% |
| 11:56:35 | Capacity | $2M | 7.7% |
| 11:43:08 | Protection | $900K | 8.3% |
Related Markets
Comparable exposures within the current market or region.
Contract Timeline
Market Open
Indicative trading
Observation
1 October 2026 – 30 September 2027
Verification
Independent catchment, rainfall and hydro-system inflow data
Settlement
30 Sep 2027