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Investor demonstration environment — indicative data only. No orders are transmitted or executed.
EnergyVictoriaTHEORI-ENG-VIC-SO26

Victorian Solar Output Protection

Protection against irradiance-adjusted solar generation materially underperforming forecast output.

Contract details

Bid

8.8%

Provide capacity

Ask

9.2%

Buy protection

Spread

0.4 pts

Indicative market

Implied Probability

15.8%

Historical 13.2%

Available Capacity

$9.3M

$35M listed

Maturity

31 Dec 2026

1 October 2026 – 31 December 2026

Market Spread

0.4 pts

Indicative bid–ask

Indicative Market History

Illustrative pricing movement over the preceding six weeks.

Current indicative yield

9.2%

Range 8.0%–9.8%

01 Jul25 Jul14 Aug

Simulated Order Book

Indicative capacity available by premium rate.

RateCapacity
10.0%$2.7M
9.8%$2.2M
9.6%$1.7M
9.4%$1.3M
9.2%$800K
Indicative spread0.4 pts
8.8%$950K
8.6%$1.4M
8.4%$1.9M
8.2%$2.3M
8.0%$2.9M

Recent Market Activity

Simulated transactions for demonstration.

TimeDirectionNotionalRate
12:24:18Protection$750K9.2%
12:18:42Capacity$1.2M8.8%
12:07:11Protection$500K9.1%
11:56:35Capacity$2M8.7%
11:43:08Protection$900K9.2%

Related Markets

Comparable exposures within the current market or region.

Contract Timeline

Market Open

Indicative trading

Observation

1 October 2026 – 31 December 2026

Verification

Independent generation telemetry and satellite-derived irradiance data

Settlement

31 Dec 2026